Summary

  • Forecast and one final put Pace in the center: Cinderella Gray Oguri Cap, Chrono Genesis, swimsuit Cheval Grand. Oguri's unique wants 2nd or worse, so he wants a Runaway.
  • A pace target is 1900 speed, stamina 1800 plus one 3.5% recovery, power 1700, guts 1200, wit 1300.
  • One player's qualifiers were 54-26. His final of 9 was Front 2, Pace 6, Late 1, and Chrono won. An Open diary saw more Late Surgers. Do not call Pace a server census.

Guides: Oguri and Chrono with Runaway; Brian prefers a structure without a tractor.

Running styles

Styles the guides favor: Pace ChaserEnd Closer

Use is the share of rival Umas that ran each style in Japan: how popular it was, not how often it won.

StyleVerdictUse in JapanNote
Front RunnerViablenot countedFrom guides A Runaway is there to tow Oguri, not to be the ace. Sample: no league-wide count
RunawayStrongnot countedFrom guides Christmas Palmer is the example, and also the debuff. Sample: no league-wide count
Pace ChaserBestnot countedFrom guides The forecast center and the style of one final (6 of 9). An Open diary disagreed. Sample: no league-wide count
Late SurgerViablenot countedFrom guides Orfevre and Stay Gold are the back picks. One Open diary saw more of this style. Sample: no league-wide count
End CloserViablenot countedFrom guides Orfevre again, as End Closer. Not the forecast center. Sample: no league-wide count

Expected room

Front Runners per room: no source counted them. Runaways per room: no source counted them. From guides

No source counted Front Runners in a full room of 9. The figures in the style table are one graded window or a pre-event Room Match sample, not a server census.

Umas

What Japan used and what the guides recommend, one card per outfit. A recommendation is a guide author's priority, not a chance of winning.

  • Oguri CapCinderella Gray outfitPace ChaserAceNot in Global yet

    In Japan: Mid-race unique, so he wants a horse in front. Not Starlight Beat or Ashen Miracle. From guides

  • Chrono Genesis1st outfitPace ChaserCoreNot in Global yet

    In Japan: Won one final. Not in the planner roster. Anecdote

  • Cheval Grandswimsuit outfitPace ChaserAlternativeNot in Global yet

    In Japan: Third Pace name. Not in the planner roster if this id is absent. From guides

  • Orfevre1st outfitEnd CloserAlternativeNot in Global yet

    In Japan: The back pick beside Stay Gold. From guides

  • Oguri Capシングレ / Cinderella GrayPace ChaserMain pick

    Guides:Pace Chaser: Unique and Arima evolution

    • Another horse ahead; prefer Runaway
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This outfit is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • Chrono GenesisoriginalPace ChaserMain pick

    Guides:Pace Chaser: Flexible unique and acceleration

    • Prepare the mid-race
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This character is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • Cheval Grand水着Pace ChaserAlternative

    Guides:Pace Chaser: Kit with a tractor

    • Difficult training according to the guide
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This character is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • Narita Brian餓狼Pace ChaserConditional

    Guides:Pace Chaser: Strong Monster and finish

    • Prefer no Runaway that stretches the field too much
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This outfit is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

  • OrfevreoriginalEnd CloserAlternative

    Guides:End Closer: End route

    • Consider evolved Stay Gold inheritance
    • Validate availability and version in Global

    This character is not in the game data yet.

    umamusumelabo.com

Stats and aptitudes

Target Speed Stamina Power Guts Wit
Recommended19001800170012001300
Minimum18001600150010001100

Stamina with a gold recovery skill: 1800.Without one: 2000.

Aptitudes: Long S required.

From guides Pace guide: 1900 speed, stamina 1800 plus one 3.5% recovery, 1700/1200/1300. A scenario speed cap cited on a course page is 1800, which disagrees with the 1900 target. Not a winner average.

Check your own build in the HP Calculator before training: these targets come from Japanese guides.

Skills

Inherited uniques 1

  • Angling and SchemingPace ChaserFront RunnerPace and Front acceleration on a course where both straight and late-corner tools work.

Green skills 6

  • Right-Handed ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Speed).
  • Nakayama Racecourse ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Stamina).
  • Non-Standard Distance ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Stamina).
  • Firm Conditions ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Power).
  • Winter Runner ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Speed).
  • Sunny Days ○Front RunnerRunawayPace ChaserLate SurgerEnd CloserCourse green (+40 Guts).

Debuffs 1

  • DominatorRunawayDebuffs are on. A Front Runner debuff is a live tool on the notes.

Team compositions

  • Cinderella Gray Oguri Cap (Pace Chaser) + Chrono Genesis (Pace Chaser) + a Runaway

    From guides The forecast shape: two Pace and one Runaway, because Oguri's unique wants 2nd or worse.

  • 2 × Pace Chaser + 1 × Runaway

    From guides The forecast shape: two Pace and one Runaway, because Oguri's unique wants 2nd or worse.

Debuffers

Useful Legal. One final's third horse was a debuff Runaway.

Support decks

Decks published by guides for this CM in Japan. Some cards may not be in Global yet; the planner checks which ones you can use.

Deck shapes

  • 2 Speed / 1 Stamina / 1 Power / 1 Wit / 1 Pal · Pace Chaser · JP · Hot spring · umamusumelabo.com

What may differ in Global

  • Not the two earlier Nakayama 2500 meetings.
  • Pace is not a server census. One Open diary saw more Late Surgers.
  • Cinderella Gray Oguri is not a roster portrait.

Gaps in the data

  • Population n: not found.

Sources and credits

This guide is our own summary, in our words, of the research below; the findings belong to their authors. Follow the links to read them in full.

  • January long Uma Musume Lab · guide · 2026-01-02 · Japanese
  • One final Sizaemon · blog · 2026-01-27 · Japanese1 player

Guides cited

  • umamusumelabo.com https://umamusumelabo.com/event/champions-meeting/chanmi-long-tierlist-202601